Are lumber futures going to head fake?

Everyone is looking at the run up in future as an indicator that the market has bottomed. But, the Uneducated Economist has a few things for us to keep in mind.

  1. We are at the end of a contract. At the end of each contract prices go haywire as people attempt to get out of their positions.
  2. The above is being amplified by unprecedented uncertainty in the market.